Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AFC Emley are 18th on 14 points after 14 games, level on points with Quorn, 2 points clear of Stockton Town. A win would take them above Quorn. Lancaster City are 11th on 20 points after 15 games, level on points with Alfreton Town, 1 point clear of Bury. A win would take them above Alfreton Town.
Form. AFC Emley have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition AFC Emley have gone W D L L L L. Lancaster City have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Lancaster City have gone L W D L W W.
The numbers. AFC Emley score one and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AFC Emley average 5.9 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Lancaster City score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Lancaster City average 4.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The read. Lancaster City to win. Lancaster City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lancaster City.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lancaster City or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AFC Emley 0-1 Lancaster City (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lancaster City or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 5 of 5 (100%) · LAN 9 of 10 (90%)95%
Lancaster City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · AFC Emley: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level
Double Chance: Draw or Lancaster CityLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
AFC 4 of 5 (80%) · LAN 9 of 10 (90%)60.4%
Lancaster City unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · AFC Emley failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level
Lancaster City (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
AFC 5 of 9 (56%) · LAN 5 of 6 (83%)52.4%
Lancaster City won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Emley lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 10 of 10 (100%) · LAN 4 of 5 (80%)94.6%
AFC Emley: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 9 of 10 (90%) · LAN 5 of 5 (100%)92.4%
AFC Emley: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 9 of 10 (90%) · LAN 4 of 5 (80%)86.9%
AFC Emley: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
AFC 9 of 10 (90%) · LAN 4 of 5 (80%)75%
AFC Emley: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
AFC 7 of 10 (70%) · LAN 4 of 5 (80%)54.6%
AFC Emley: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
AFC EMLEY GOALS
AFC Emley Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 7 of 10 (70%) · LAN 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%
AFC Emley scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
AFC Emley Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
AFC 8 of 10 (80%) · LAN 3 of 5 (60%)59.2%
AFC Emley scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
LANCASTER CITY GOALS
Lancaster City Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 5 of 5 (100%) · LAN 9 of 10 (90%)71.6%
Lancaster City scored in 5 of 5 away · AFC Emley conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 7 of 10 (70%) · LAN 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
AFC Emley: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Lancaster City's level · Lancaster City: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Left off the list: Lancaster City or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (83%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.1%
AFC Emley goals →
Lancaster City goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
AFC EMLEYDDDLLLLLDW0.70 PPG
LANCASTER CITYWWLLWWLDWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AFC EMLEY HOMExLANCASTER CITY AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.402.20CONCEDED A GAME1.7010%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE13%5.86CORNERS A GAME4.600.71CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.33-0.79GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.53-0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.60.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.414LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
77%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AFC EMLEY OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
LANCASTER CITY OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AFC EMLEYxLANCASTER CITY
6GAMES71.00SCORED A GAME1.712.17CONCEDED A GAME2.293.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS86%83%BOTH SCORE86%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AFC Emley have scored in 60% of their games.
Lancaster City have scored in 80% of their games.
AFC Emley kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Lancaster City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards