Match details. 1. League Women. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. AS Trencin have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Spartak Myjava have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. AS Trencin score 3.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Spartak Myjava score 6.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Spartak Myjava average 21.8 shots (13.0 on target), 8.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 96% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Spartak Myjava are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Spartak Myjava the likelier winners; Spartak Myjava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Myjava. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 95%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AS Trencin 1-2 Spartak Myjava (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Spartak Myjava the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).