Match details. Liga e Pare. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. KF Liria Prizren have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. KF Kika have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. KF Liria Prizren score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Kika score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. KF Kika average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: KF Liria Prizren are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Liria Prizren the likelier winners; KF Liria Prizren are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Liria Prizren. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: KF Liria Prizren 1-0 KF Kika (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (KF Liria Prizren the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).