Match details. J2 League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time.
Form. Iwaki FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Jubilo Iwata have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. Iwaki FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Iwaki FC average 6.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Jubilo Iwata score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Jubilo Iwata average 6.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Jubilo Iwata's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Iwaki FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Iwaki FC the likelier winners; Iwaki FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Iwaki FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Iwaki FC 1-0 Jubilo Iwata (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).