MYMON

06:00Sun 25 Oct

TEG

Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo.

What's at stake. Montedio Yamagata are 16th on 13 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Vanraure Hachinohe, level on points with Blaublitz Akita. A win would take them above Vanraure Hachinohe. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 8th on 17 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Oita Trinita, level on points with Tokushima Vortis. A win would take them above Oita Trinita.

Form. Montedio Yamagata have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Montedio Yamagata have gone L D L L W L. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition Tegevajaro Miyazaki have gone W D D D W W.

The numbers. Montedio Yamagata score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Montedio Yamagata average 5.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 4.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. Montedio Yamagata's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win. A tight game. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

MON 9 of 10 (90%) · TEG 6 of 6 (100%)94.1%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.26

MON 4 of 5 (80%) · TEG 8 of 10 (80%)81.1%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 at home

Tegevajaro Miyazaki win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.26

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · TEG 4 of 6 (67%)69.4%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Double Chance: Draw or Tegevajaro MiyazakiLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · TEG 4 of 6 (67%)68.5%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata failed to win 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Tegevajaro Miyazaki (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

MON 4 of 6 (67%) · TEG 4 of 6 (67%)62.5%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Montedio Yamagata lost 4 of 6 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

MON 2 of 5 (40%) · TEG 6 of 10 (60%)61.1%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata trailed in 5 of 6 at home

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TEG 7 of 10 (70%)90%

Montedio Yamagata: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level

MONTEDIO YAMAGATA GOALS

Montedio Yamagata Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

MON 4 of 6 (67%) · TEG 6 of 10 (60%)68.2%

Montedio Yamagata scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Tegevajaro Miyazaki conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI GOALS

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.30

MON 8 of 10 (80%) · TEG 4 of 6 (67%)69.2%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Left off the list: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tegevajaro Miyazaki or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.3%

Montedio Yamagata goals →

Tegevajaro Miyazaki goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MONTEDIO YAMAGATAWWLLLWLLDL1.00 PPG

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKIDLLWWWDDDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONTEDIO YAMAGATA HOMExTEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS10%50%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.170.67CARDS A GAME1.17

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.08POINTS A GAME1.42+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.08-1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.10.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.812LEAGUE GAMES12

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

26%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MONTEDIO YAMAGATA OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI OR DRAW

59%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MONTEDIO YAMAGATAxTEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI

7GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.086%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%14%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%14%BOTH SCORE60%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Montedio Yamagata have scored in 50% of their games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in 80% of their games.

Montedio Yamagata kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards