Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai
Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata.
What's at stake. Albirex Niigata are 2nd on 23 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Vegalta Sendai, 1 point clear of Kataller Toyama. Vegalta Sendai are 1st on 27 points after 12 games, 4 points clear of Albirex Niigata.
Form. Albirex Niigata have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. In this competition Albirex Niigata have gone W L D W D W. Vegalta Sendai have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Vegalta Sendai have gone W D W W W W.
The numbers. Albirex Niigata score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Albirex Niigata average 3.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Vegalta Sendai score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Vegalta Sendai average 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Albirex Niigata have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Albirex Niigata won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Oct 2022, it finished Albirex Niigata 3-0 Vegalta Sendai.
Where it pulls both ways. Vegalta Sendai are the form side, but the meetings favour Albirex Niigata: in the last ten meetings, Albirex Niigata won three, Vegalta Sendai won five and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Vegalta Sendai or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Vegalta Sendai or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Vegalta Sendai 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Vegalta Sendai (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).