Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 08:00 Lagos time. It is played at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki.
What's at stake. Kawasaki Frontale are 7th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Kashima, 1 point clear of Urawa. A win would take them above Kashima. Fagiano Okayama are 10th on 16 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Yokohama F. Marinos, 2 points clear of Shimizu S-pulse. A win would take them above Yokohama F. Marinos.
Form. Kawasaki Frontale have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Kawasaki Frontale have gone W W L D W W. Fagiano Okayama have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Fagiano Okayama have gone W L L L W W.
The numbers. Kawasaki Frontale score 2.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Kawasaki Frontale average 16.2 shots (6.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Fagiano Okayama score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fagiano Okayama average 12.4 shots (3.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Kawasaki Frontale have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 8 Nov 2025, it finished Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Fagiano Okayama: Kawasaki Frontale had 19 shots to 8, 59% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Fagiano Okayama's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Kawasaki Frontale to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kawasaki Frontale the likelier winners; Kawasaki Frontale are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kawasaki Frontale. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Kawasaki Frontale (Draw No Bet) at 1.61, 71% on the records (Kawasaki Frontale won 5 of 7 (draws left out); Fagiano Okayama lost 4 of 9 (draws left out)). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26 (76%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kawasaki Frontale or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Fagiano Okayama (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).