FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 08:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.
What's at stake. FC Tokyo are 4th on 24 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Kashiwa Reysol, 1 point clear of Vissel Kobe. A win would take them above Kashiwa Reysol. Mito Hollyhock are 17th on 9 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Kyoto Sanga, 1 point clear of Tokyo Verdy. A win would take them above Kyoto Sanga.
Form. FC Tokyo have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition FC Tokyo have gone D W W W W W. Mito Hollyhock have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Mito Hollyhock have gone L L L L L D.
The numbers. FC Tokyo score 1.6 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. FC Tokyo average 16.4 shots (5.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mito Hollyhock average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Tokyo have won two, drawn none and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 14 Oct 2026, it finished FC Tokyo 0-1 Mito Hollyhock.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. FC Tokyo to win. Their goals for and against make FC Tokyo the likelier winners; FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tokyo.
The bets. Best bet: FC Tokyo (Draw No Bet) at 1.11, 83% on the records (FC Tokyo won 7 of 7 (draws left out); Mito Hollyhock lost 5 of 7 (draws left out)). Backup: FC Tokyo or Both Teams Score at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Tokyo Over 1.5 goals (Mito Hollyhock's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Tokyo 2-0 Mito Hollyhock (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).