Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F Marinos

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium.

What's at stake. Nagoya Grampus are 12th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Shimizu S-pulse, level on points with Cerezo Osaka. A win would take them above Shimizu S-pulse. Yokohama F Marinos are 9th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Urawa, 1 point clear of Fagiano Okayama. A win would take them above Urawa.

Form. Nagoya Grampus have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. In this competition Nagoya Grampus have gone D W W L L L. Yokohama F Marinos have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. In this competition Yokohama F Marinos have gone D D D W D W.

The numbers. Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Nagoya Grampus average 11.9 shots (2.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Yokohama F Marinos score one and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Yokohama F Marinos average 12.4 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nagoya Grampus have won four, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Nagoya Grampus won two and Yokohama F Marinos won two. The last time they met, on 20 Jul 2025, it finished Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Yokohama F Marinos: Nagoya Grampus had 16 shots to 16, 56% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 73% on the records (Nagoya Grampus: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Yokohama F Marinos: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 away). Leave: Yokohama F Marinos or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Yokohama F Marinos or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Yokohama F Marinos 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama F Marinos (9% chance).