Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu.
What's at stake. Tokyo Verdy are 20th on 5 points after 11 games, 1 point behind JEF United Chiba. A win would take them above JEF United Chiba. Avispa Fukuoka are 18th on 7 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Kyoto Sanga, 1 point clear of JEF United Chiba. A win would take them above Kyoto Sanga.
Form. Tokyo Verdy have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Avispa Fukuoka have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Tokyo Verdy score 0.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Tokyo Verdy average 8.1 shots (2.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Avispa Fukuoka score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Avispa Fukuoka average 11.9 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Tokyo Verdy have won three, drawn five and lost one. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Tokyo Verdy won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Nov 2025, it finished Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka: Tokyo Verdy had 17 shots to 6, 46% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (Tokyo Verdy: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; Avispa Fukuoka: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).