Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
What's at stake. Kashima Antlers are 6th on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Kashiwa Reysol, 1 point clear of Kawasaki Frontale. A win would take them above Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol are 5th on 22 points after 11 games, level on points with Vissel Kobe, 2 points clear of Kashima. A win would take them above Vissel Kobe.
Form. Kashima Antlers have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. In this competition Kashima Antlers have gone D W W D L L. Kashiwa Reysol have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Kashiwa Reysol have gone D L W W W L.
The numbers. Kashima Antlers score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kashima Antlers average 15.2 shots (5.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Kashiwa Reysol score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kashiwa Reysol average 16.0 shots (4.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kashima Antlers have won six, drawn three and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Kashima Antlers won four. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol: Kashima Antlers had 12 shots to 13, 48% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Kashiwa Reysol's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Kashima Antlers to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kashima Antlers the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Kashima Antlers; the meetings favour Kashima Antlers. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kashima Antlers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kashiwa Reysol or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).