Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

What's at stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind FC Tokyo, 1 point clear of Vissel Kobe. A win would take them above FC Tokyo. Shimizu S-Pulse are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Fagiano Okayama, 1 point clear of Nagoya Grampus. A win would take them above Fagiano Okayama.

Form. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Shimizu S-Pulse have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.

The numbers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 20.0 shots (6.5 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. Shimizu S-Pulse score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Shimizu S-Pulse average 9.9 shots (3.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won two, drawn three and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won one, two were drawn and Shimizu S-Pulse won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 15 shots to 12, 55% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 46%.

The read. No firm call: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sanfrecce Hiroshima the likelier winners; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.12, 89% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Full cover: Shimizu S-Pulse Under 1.5 Goals at 1.25. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a clear winner, no Unders); Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 1.5 goals (Shimizu S-Pulse's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse (10% chance).