Match details. National League South, National League South - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Plainmoor, Torquay.
What's at stake. Torquay United are 13th on 16 points after 11 games, level on points with Folkestone Invicta, 1 point clear of Horsham. A win would take them above Folkestone Invicta. Maidstone United FC are 1st on 25 points after 12 games, 3 points clear of Ebbsfleet United.
Form. Torquay United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Maidstone United FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. Torquay United score 2.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Torquay United average 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Maidstone United FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Maidstone United FC average 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Torquay United have won one, drawn three and lost six. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Maidstone United FC won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Torquay United 1-1 Maidstone United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 51%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No firm call: Maidstone United FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Maidstone United FC; the meetings favour Maidstone United FC. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Torquay United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Maidstone United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Torquay United 1-1 Maidstone United FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).