Chorley FC vs Buxton FC
Match details. National League North, National League North - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Victory Park, Chorley.
What's at stake. Chorley FC are 10th on 17 points after 11 games, level on points with Spalding United, level on points with Buxton. A win would take them above Spalding United. Buxton FC are 11th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Chorley, 1 point clear of Bedford Town. A win would take them above Chorley.
Form. Chorley FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Buxton FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Chorley FC score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Chorley FC average 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Buxton FC score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Buxton FC average 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Chorley FC have won two, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Chorley FC won one and Buxton FC won three. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Chorley FC 1-2 Buxton FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Chorley FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Buxton FC; the meetings favour Buxton FC.
The case against. Buxton FC's record still gives them 48% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Chorley FC to win. An open game. Chorley FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Buxton FC; the meetings favour Buxton FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%. Seven of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 78% on the records (Chorley FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Buxton FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chorley FC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Chorley FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Chorley FC Over 1.5 goals (Buxton FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Chorley FC 2-1 Buxton FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).