Match details. National League North, National League North - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at New Bucks Head, Telford.
What's at stake. AFC Telford United are 21st on 12 points after 12 games, level on points with Radcliffe, 3 points clear of Southport. A win would take them above Radcliffe. Hebburn Town are 8th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with Hednesford Town, 1 point clear of Spalding United. A win would take them above Hednesford Town.
Form. AFC Telford United have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. Hebburn Town have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.
The numbers. AFC Telford United score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AFC Telford United average 5.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Hebburn Town score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hebburn Town average 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AFC Telford United the likelier winners, but Hebburn Town are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Hebburn Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hebburn Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); AFC Telford United Under 1.5 goals (Hebburn Town's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: AFC Telford United 1-1 Hebburn Town (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).