Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CS Cartagines have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. CS Cartagines score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. CS Cartagines average 7.8 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa average 15.2 shots (6.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2025, it finished CS Cartagines 1-3 CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour CS Cartagines. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goals (CS Cartagines's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CS Cartagines 1-1 CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).