Match details. Serie B, Relegation Group - 9. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is played over two legs.
Form. 22 de Julio have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. LDU Portoviejo have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. 22 de Julio score 0.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. 22 de Julio average 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. LDU Portoviejo score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. LDU Portoviejo average 5.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: LDU Portoviejo are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make LDU Portoviejo the likelier winners; LDU Portoviejo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour LDU Portoviejo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: LDU Portoviejo or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: 22 de Julio 1-2 LDU Portoviejo (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
LDU Portoviejo or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEJ 5 of 8 (62%) · LDU 8 of 8 (100%)83.6%
LDU Portoviejo: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · 22 de Julio: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
LDU Portoviejo or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEJ 5 of 8 (62%) · LDU 8 of 8 (100%)83.6%
LDU Portoviejo: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · 22 de Julio: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEJ 8 of 8 (100%) · LDU 5 of 8 (62%)93.8%
22 de Julio: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · LDU Portoviejo: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level
LDU PORTOVIEJO GOALS
LDU Portoviejo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEJ 5 of 8 (62%) · LDU 8 of 8 (100%)81.4%
LDU Portoviejo scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · 22 de Julio conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
Left off the list: LDU Portoviejo or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.2%
22 de Julio goals →
LDU Portoviejo goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
22 DE JULIOLLLDLLLLLL0.10 PPG
LDU PORTOVIEJODDWDDLWWDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
22 DE JULIO HOMExLDU PORTOVIEJO AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME0.902.17CONCEDED A GAME0.9350%BOTH SCORED30%0%CLEAN SHEETS60%3.40CORNERS A GAME5.182.00CARDS A GAME3.09
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR LDU PORTOVIEJO (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.31POINTS A GAME1.36-2.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.27–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.813LEAGUE GAMES11
LDU Portoviejo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
LDU PORTOVIEJO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
22 DE JULIO OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
LDU PORTOVIEJO OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
22 DE JULIOxLDU PORTOVIEJO
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.403.40CONCEDED A GAME0.204.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES0.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
22 de Julio have scored in 50% of their games.
LDU Portoviejo have scored in 60% of their games.
22 de Julio kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
LDU Portoviejo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards