Match details. National League South, National League South - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead.
What's at stake. Hemel Hempstead Town are 16th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Chelmsford City, level on points with Farnborough. A win would take them above Chelmsford City. AFC Totton are 21st on 10 points after 12 games, level on points with Braintree, 2 points clear of Hampton & Richmond. A win would take them above Braintree.
Form. Hemel Hempstead Town have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. AFC Totton have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hemel Hempstead Town average 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. AFC Totton score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. AFC Totton average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Hemel Hempstead Town have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 AFC Totton.
The case against. AFC Totton's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Hemel Hempstead Town to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Hemel Hempstead Town the likelier winners; Hemel Hempstead Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hemel Hempstead Town. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Hemel Hempstead Town or Draw at 1.19, 79% on the records (Hemel Hempstead Town unbeaten in 5 of 8; AFC Totton failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Hemel Hempstead Town or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Hemel Hempstead Town are a clear winner, no Unders); Hemel Hempstead Town Over 0.5 goals (Hemel Hempstead Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Hemel Hempstead Town or draw and under 3.5 goals (Hemel Hempstead Town are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 AFC Totton (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).