FIFOL

15:00Sat 24 Oct

FAR

Folkestone Invicta vs Farnborough FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. National League South, National League South - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Folkestone Invicta are 12th on 16 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Farnham Town, level on points with Torquay. A win would take them above Farnham Town. Farnborough FC are 17th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Hemel Hempstead Town, 1 point clear of Maidenhead. A win would take them above Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form. Folkestone Invicta have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Farnborough FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.

The numbers. Folkestone Invicta score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Folkestone Invicta average 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Farnborough FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Farnborough FC average 7.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The case against. Farnborough FC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Folkestone Invicta to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Folkestone Invicta the likelier winners; Folkestone Invicta are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner, no Unders); Folkestone Invicta or draw and under 3.5 goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner, no Unders); Folkestone Invicta or draw and under 2.5 goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Folkestone Invicta 1-0 Farnborough FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Folkestone Invicta or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

FOL 7 of 9 (78%) · FAR 4 of 5 (80%)85.1%

Folkestone Invicta: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Farnborough FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Folkestone Invicta: only games against sides at Farnborough FC's level · Farnborough FC: only games against sides at Folkestone Invicta's level

FOLKESTONE INVICTA GOALS

Folkestone Invicta Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

FOL 7 of 9 (78%) · FAR 4 of 5 (80%)77.8%

Folkestone Invicta scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Farnborough FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · Folkestone Invicta: only games against sides at Farnborough FC's level · Farnborough FC: only games against sides at Folkestone Invicta's level

FARNBOROUGH FC GOALS

Farnborough FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.53

FOL 3 of 5 (60%) · FAR 6 of 9 (67%)78.3%

Farnborough FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Folkestone Invicta conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Farnborough FC: only games against sides at Folkestone Invicta's level · Folkestone Invicta: only games against sides at Farnborough FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

FOL 9 of 9 (100%) · FAR 4 of 5 (80%)89.2%

Folkestone Invicta: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Farnborough FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Folkestone Invicta: only games against sides at Farnborough FC's level · Farnborough FC: only games against sides at Folkestone Invicta's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner - no Unders); Folkestone Invicta or draw and under 3.5 goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner - no Unders); Folkestone Invicta or draw and under 2.5 goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Folkestone Invicta are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.6%

Folkestone Invicta goals →

Farnborough FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FOLKESTONE INVICTAWDLLLLDLWW1.10 PPG

FARNBOROUGH FCWLDLDLLLWD0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FOLKESTONE INVICTA HOMExFARNBOROUGH FC AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.911.17CONCEDED A GAME1.5520%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE45%4.75CORNERS A GAME7.501.50CARDS A GAME1.75

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.27+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.64–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES11

Folkestone Invicta: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FOLKESTONE INVICTA OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

FARNBOROUGH FC OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FOLKESTONE INVICTAxFARNBOROUGH FC

6GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME1.171.00CONCEDED A GAME1.673.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%83%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Folkestone Invicta have scored in 80% of their games.

Farnborough FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Folkestone Invicta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Farnborough FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards