Match details. Liga Alef, North - 8. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. MS Tira have won five, drawn two and lost none of their last seven, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition MS Tira have gone W W W D D W. Hapoel Tirat Hacarmel have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Hapoel Tirat Hacarmel have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. MS Tira score 1.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets. Hapoel Tirat Hacarmel score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 6 Dec 2025, it finished MS Tira 0-2 Hapoel Tirat Hacarmel.
The read. MS Tira to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make MS Tira the likelier winners; MS Tira are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MS Tira. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: MS Tira or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); MS Tira to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: MS Tira 1-0 Hapoel Tirat Hacarmel (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).