Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Group 3, Group 3 - 29. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Spartak Tambov are 2nd on 53 points after 22 games, 3 points behind Volna Nizhegorodskaya, 13 points clear of Shumbrat. A win would take them level on points with Volna Nizhegorodskaya. FC Avangard Kursk are 8th on 30 points after 22 games, 8 points behind Metallurg Lipetsk, 2 points clear of Rodina Moskva III.
Form. Spartak Tambov have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. In this competition Spartak Tambov have gone D D W W D W. FC Avangard Kursk have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. In this competition FC Avangard Kursk have gone L D L D D L.
The numbers. Spartak Tambov score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Spartak Tambov average 5.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. FC Avangard Kursk score 0.9 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Avangard Kursk average 4.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Spartak Tambov have won one, drawn none and lost three. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Jul 2026, it finished Spartak Tambov 2-0 FC Avangard Kursk.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Spartak Tambov are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Spartak Tambov the likelier winners; Spartak Tambov are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Tambov.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Avangard Kursk or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Spartak Tambov). Predicted score: Spartak Tambov 2-0 FC Avangard Kursk (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).