Urawa Red Diamonds vs INAC Kobe Leonessa
Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
Form. Urawa Red Diamonds have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. INAC Kobe Leonessa have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. Urawa Red Diamonds score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Urawa Red Diamonds average 13.8 shots (6.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game. INAC Kobe Leonessa score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. INAC Kobe Leonessa average 14.0 shots (6.7 on target), 6.2 corners and 0.4 cards a game.
The case against. INAC Kobe Leonessa's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Urawa Red Diamonds to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Urawa Red Diamonds the likelier winners; Urawa Red Diamonds are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Urawa Red Diamonds. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw at 1.30, rated 75% (Urawa Red Diamonds unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home; INAC Kobe Leonessa failed to win 4 of 6 away). Predicted score: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (9% chance).
The agreed story. Urawa Red Diamonds or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Urawa Red Diamonds in their last cup games: won 4-0 at Yokohama FC (a division below), won 3-2 v RB Omiya Ardija (a division below), won 3-2 at Kataller Toyama (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).