Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Albirex Niigata have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. JEF United Ichihara Chiba have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Albirex Niigata score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Albirex Niigata average 11.0 shots (5.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.3 cards a game. JEF United Ichihara Chiba score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. JEF United Ichihara Chiba average 11.8 shots (8.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. JEF United Ichihara Chiba's record still gives them 58% to win.
The read. Albirex Niigata or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make JEF United Ichihara Chiba the likelier winners; JEF United Ichihara Chiba are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour JEF United Ichihara Chiba. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 2-1 JEF United Ichihara Chiba (7% chance).
The agreed story. Albirex Niigata or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Albirex Niigata in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at Matsumoto Yamaga FC (a division below), won 2-1 at Thespa Gunma (a division below), lost 0-4 v Kagoshima United (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).