NSNKS

14:00Sat 24 Oct

NKC

NK Segesta vs NK Croatia Zmijavci

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Sisak.

What's at stake. NK Segesta are 4th on 14 points after 9 games, 2 points behind HNK Cibalia, level on points with Bsk Bijelo Brdo. A win would take them above HNK Cibalia. NK Croatia Zmijavci are 1st on 19 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Jadran LP.

Form. NK Segesta have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. NK Croatia Zmijavci have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. NK Segesta score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. NK Segesta average 12.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game. NK Croatia Zmijavci score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. NK Croatia Zmijavci average 10.3 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 8 Sep 2020, it finished NK Segesta 3-4 NK Croatia Zmijavci.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); NK Croatia Zmijavci or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); NK Segesta or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: NK Segesta 1-1 NK Croatia Zmijavci (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 8 of 8 (100%) · NKC 5 of 5 (100%)96%

NK Segesta: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Croatia Zmijavci: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · NK Segesta: only games against sides at NK Croatia Zmijavci's level · NK Croatia Zmijavci: only games against sides at NK Segesta's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 7 of 8 (88%) · NKC 5 of 5 (100%)89.8%

NK Segesta: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Croatia Zmijavci: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · NK Segesta: only games against sides at NK Croatia Zmijavci's level · NK Croatia Zmijavci: only games against sides at NK Segesta's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKS 7 of 7 (100%) · NKC 4 of 5 (80%)88.6%

NK Segesta's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · NK Croatia Zmijavci's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · NK Segesta: only games against sides at NK Croatia Zmijavci's level · NK Croatia Zmijavci: only games against sides at NK Segesta's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); NK Croatia Zmijavci or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); NK Segesta or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Double Chance: NK Segesta or NK Croatia Zmijavci (no result call); NK Croatia Zmijavci or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

NK Segesta goals →

NK Croatia Zmijavci goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK SEGESTAWLDLWWWDLW1.70 PPG

NK CROATIA ZMIJAVCIWWWWDLLWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK SEGESTA HOMExNK CROATIA ZMIJAVCI AWAY

3.20SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE11%4.88CORNERS A GAME4.573.12CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NK SEGESTA 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME2.11+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.89+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES9

NK Croatia Zmijavci: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

NK SEGESTA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

NK CROATIA ZMIJAVCI OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK SEGESTAxNK CROATIA ZMIJAVCI

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE40%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

NK SEGESTA 0 · 0%DRAW 0NK CROATIA ZMIJAVCI 1 · 100%

2020-09-08NK Segesta 3 – 4 NK Croatia Zmijavci

TRENDS

NK Segesta have scored in 70% of their games.

NK Croatia Zmijavci have scored in 90% of their games.

NK Segesta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

NK Croatia Zmijavci kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards