Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. NK Sesvete are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Vukovar, level on points with Dugopolje. A win would take them above Vukovar. NK Hrvace are 16th on 7 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Kustosija. A win would take them level on points with Kustosija.
Form. NK Sesvete have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. NK Hrvace have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. NK Sesvete score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. NK Sesvete average 9.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. NK Hrvace score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Hrvace average 9.9 shots (3.7 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings NK Sesvete have won two, drawn one and lost two. Five of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, NK Sesvete won two, one was drawn and NK Hrvace won one. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished NK Sesvete 2-4 NK Hrvace.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; five of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. NK Hrvace's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. NK Sesvete to win. An open game. NK Sesvete are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Sesvete. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Five of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Sesvete or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); NK Sesvete or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Sesvete 2-1 NK Hrvace (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).