THE READ
Match details. First Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Simal are 6th on 5 points after 5 games, 5 points behind Karvan, level on points with Xankəndi FK. Baku SC are 10th on 0 points after 5 games, 4 points behind Mingəçevir.
Form. Simal have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. Baku SC have won none, drawn none and lost five of their last five, 0.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Simal score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. Baku SC score 0.2 and concede 2.4 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Simal have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished Simal 1-0 Baku SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Baku SC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Simal to win. Their goals for and against make Simal the likelier winners; Simal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Simal.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Simal 2-1 Baku SC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Simal or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%
Simal: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Simal or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%
Simal: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Simal or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 3 of 5 (60%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)74.6%
Simal: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Double Chance: Simal or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
SIM 3 of 5 (60%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)72.9%
Simal unbeaten in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC failed to win 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 1 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Simal or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 3 of 5 (60%) · BAK 4 of 5 (80%)65%
Simal: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 0 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Simal to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
SIM 1 of 5 (20%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)60.9%
Simal won 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 1 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
GOALS
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Simal: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Simal: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
no price yet
SIM 3 of 5 (60%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)80.8%
Simal: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 4 of 5 (80%)72.9%
Simal: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 1 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
SIM 3 of 5 (60%) · BAK 3 of 5 (60%)55.4%
Simal: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 1 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
SIMAL GOALS
Simal Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%
Simal scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3 · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 5 of 5 (100%) · BAK 4 of 5 (80%)91.4%
Simal: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SIM 2 of 5 (40%) · BAK 4 of 5 (80%)61%
Simal: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Baku SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Simal: only games against sides at Baku SC's level · Baku SC: only games against sides at Simal's level