Moik Baku vs FK Karvan Yevlakh
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Moik Baku have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. FK Karvan Yevlakh have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Moik Baku score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Moik Baku average 17.0 shots (8.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FK Karvan Yevlakh score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Karvan Yevlakh average 9.6 shots (3.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Moik Baku the likelier winners, but Moik Baku are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Karvan Yevlakh. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Moik Baku's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. FK Karvan Yevlakh or the draw. Their goals for and against make Moik Baku the likelier winners; Moik Baku are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Karvan Yevlakh.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FK Karvan Yevlakh at 1.43, 70% on the records (FK Karvan Yevlakh unbeaten in 4 of 5; Moik Baku failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: FK Karvan Yevlakh or Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Moik Baku 1-1 FK Karvan Yevlakh (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).