Match details. Persha Liga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Metalist Kharkiv have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. FSK Mariupol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.
The numbers. FC Metalist Kharkiv score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Metalist Kharkiv average 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FSK Mariupol score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FSK Mariupol average 5.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. FSK Mariupol to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FSK Mariupol the likelier winners; FSK Mariupol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FSK Mariupol. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Metalist Kharkiv 0-1 FSK Mariupol (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).