Match details. Japan Football League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Maruyasu Okazaki have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Briobecca Urayasu have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Maruyasu Okazaki score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Maruyasu Okazaki average 10.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Briobecca Urayasu score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Briobecca Urayasu average 9.8 shots (3.8 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Maruyasu Okazaki's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Briobecca Urayasu or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Briobecca Urayasu. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Maruyasu Okazaki 1-2 Briobecca Urayasu (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).