Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Marconi Stadium, Sydney.
Form. Marconi Stallions have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Oakleigh Cannons have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Marconi Stallions score one and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Marconi Stallions average 9.5 shots (4.2 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Oakleigh Cannons score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Oakleigh Cannons average 9.1 shots (4.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
The case against. Oakleigh Cannons's record still gives them 57% to win.
The read. Marconi Stallions to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Oakleigh Cannons the likelier winners; Oakleigh Cannons are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oakleigh Cannons. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Marconi Stallions or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Marconi Stallions or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Marconi Stallions Over 0.5 Goals (Oakleigh Cannons's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Marconi Stallions 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).