Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala.
Form. SC Villa have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Mbarara FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L.
The numbers. SC Villa score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SC Villa average 11.6 shots (4.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Mbarara FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mbarara FC average 13.6 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: SC Villa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. SC Villa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Villa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Villa 1-1 Mbarara FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).