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UGANDA - PREMIER LEAGUE
SC Villa crestSVSCV
14:00Thu 22 Oct
MBAMbarara FC crestMF

SC Villa vs Mbarara FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala.

Form. SC Villa have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Mbarara FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L.

The numbers. SC Villa score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SC Villa average 11.6 shots (4.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Mbarara FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mbarara FC average 13.6 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 62%.

The read. No firm call: SC Villa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. SC Villa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Villa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Villa 1-1 Mbarara FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SC Villa or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 6 of 6 (100%) · MBA 5 of 7 (71%)81.2%
SC Villa: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 5 of 6 (83%) · MBA 7 of 7 (100%)92.7%
SC Villa: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 5 of 6 (83%) · MBA 6 of 7 (86%)86.4%
SC Villa: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
SC VILLA GOALS
SC Villa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 6 of 6 (100%) · MBA 5 of 7 (71%)81.2%
SC Villa scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 5 of 6 (83%) · MBA 3 of 7 (43%)63.1%
SC Villa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · on half-time scores · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCV 4 of 6 (67%) · MBA 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%
SC Villa's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mbarara FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · SC Villa: only games in Mbarara FC's division · Mbarara FC: only games against sides at SC Villa's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.8%
SC Villa goals →
Mbarara FC goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-26%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SC VILLAWDWWWDDLWD1.90 PPG
MBARARA FCWLDDLLWLWW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SC VILLA HOMExMBARARA FC AWAY
2.33SCORED A GAME0.400.50CONCEDED A GAME0.6040%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.401.80CARDS A GAME2.40
TRENDS
SC Villa have scored in 90% of their games.
Mbarara FC have scored in 60% of their games.
SC Villa kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Mbarara FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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