Churchill Brothers SC vs Punjab FC
Match details. Indian Super League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Churchill Brothers SC are 7th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Kerala Blasters, 1 point clear of Odisha. A win would take them above Kerala Blasters. Punjab FC are 4th on 4 points after 2 games, 2 points behind Bengaluru, 1 point clear of ATK Mohun Bagan. A win would take them above Bengaluru.
Form. Churchill Brothers SC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Churchill Brothers SC have gone L W. Punjab FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition Punjab FC have gone D W L W D W.
The numbers. Churchill Brothers SC score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Churchill Brothers SC average 3.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Punjab FC score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Punjab FC average 15.8 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Churchill Brothers SC have won five, drawn three and lost one. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Churchill Brothers SC won one, two were drawn and Punjab FC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2023, it finished Churchill Brothers SC 1-3 Punjab FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Punjab FC the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Churchill Brothers SC.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 76% on the records (Churchill Brothers SC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home; Punjab FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.46. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Churchill Brothers SC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Punjab FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Churchill Brothers SC 2-2 Punjab FC (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).