Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.
What's at stake. Sestao River Club are 3rd on 16 points after 7 games, level on points with Deportivo Alavés II, 2 points clear of Eibar II. A win would take them above Deportivo Alavés II. Arosa SC are 13th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Coruxo, level on points with Llanera. A win would take them above Coruxo.
Form. Sestao River Club have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. Arosa SC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. Sestao River Club score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Sestao River Club average 13.6 shots (3.9 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Arosa SC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Arosa SC average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Sestao River Club are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sestao River Club the likelier winners; Sestao River Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sestao River Club. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sestao River Club Over 1.5 Goals (Sestao River Club's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sestao River Club 2-1 Arosa SC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Sestao River Club or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 5 (80%) · ARO 5 of 6 (83%)86%
Sestao River Club scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level
Double Chance: Sestao River Club or DrawIN CODES
1.14
SES 5 of 6 (83%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)84.6%
Sestao River Club unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC failed to win 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 6 (83%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 6 (67%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 6 (67%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 3 of 6 (50%) · ARO 5 of 7 (71%)60.7%
Sestao River Club: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Sestao River Club 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 3 of 5 (60%) · ARO 4 of 6 (67%)55.6%
Sestao River Club scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level
Sestao River Club to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
SES 4 of 6 (67%) · ARO 2 of 7 (29%)53.8%
Sestao River Club won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC lost 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 48% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 6 (83%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)93.6%
Sestao River Club: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 6 (67%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)78.1%
Sestao River Club: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.82
SES 1 of 6 (17%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)53.9%
Sestao River Club: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
SESTAO RIVER CLUB GOALS
Sestao River Club Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 4 of 6 (67%) · ARO 6 of 7 (86%)83.2%
Sestao River Club scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Sestao River Club's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SES 5 of 6 (83%) · ARO 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Sestao River Club's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Sestao River Club: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level
Left off the list: Sestao River Club Over 1.5 Goals (Sestao River Club's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Sestao River Club goals →
Arosa SC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SESTAO RIVER CLUBDWWLWWWDWW2.30 PPG
AROSA SCWWWDLDLDDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SESTAO RIVER CLUB HOMExAROSA SC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.800.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE29%7.40CORNERS A GAME5.802.60CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.29POINTS A GAME1.00+0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57+5.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES7
Sestao River Club: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
SESTAO RIVER CLUB 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SESTAO RIVER CLUB OR DRAW
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
AROSA SC OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SESTAO RIVER CLUBxAROSA SC
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Sestao River Club have scored in 80% of their games.
Arosa SC have scored in 80% of their games.
Sestao River Club kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Arosa SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards