Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pena Sport FC are 11th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Tudelano, level on points with UD Logroñés II. A win would take them above Tudelano. Reus FC Reddis are 9th on 10 points after 7 games, level on points with Girona II, 2 points clear of Tudelano. A win would take them above Girona II.
Form. Pena Sport FC have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Pena Sport FC have gone D L W L W L. Reus FC Reddis have won three, drawn one and lost three of their last seven, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Reus FC Reddis have gone D W L W W L.
The numbers. Pena Sport FC score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Reus FC Reddis score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Reus FC Reddis or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Reus FC Reddis or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Reus FC Reddis or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pena Sport FC 1-1 Reus FC Reddis (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).