Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Llanera are 14th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Arosa, 1 point clear of Atlético Astorga. A win would take them above Arosa. SD Compostela are 6th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Portugalete, level on points with Amorebieta. A win would take them above Portugalete.
Form. UD Llanera have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. SD Compostela have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. UD Llanera score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Llanera average 9.9 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.9 cards a game. SD Compostela score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. SD Compostela average 11.1 shots (4.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings UD Llanera have won one, drawn one and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2025, it finished UD Llanera 1-1 SD Compostela.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: UD Llanera 1-1 SD Compostela (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).