Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Arnedo are 18th on 2 points after 7 games, 1 point behind SD Logroñés. A win would take them above SD Logroñés. CF Calamocha are 16th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Náxara, 1 point clear of SD Logroñés. A win would take them above Náxara.
Form. CD Arnedo have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. CF Calamocha have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. CD Arnedo score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Arnedo average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CF Calamocha score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF Calamocha average 2.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CF Calamocha or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Calamocha or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CF Calamocha Over 0.5 Goals (CF Calamocha's own games don't back it (2 of 7)). Predicted score: CD Arnedo 1-1 CF Calamocha (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).