AAATL

15:30Sat 24 Oct

SDG

Atletico Astorga FC vs SD Gernika Club

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Atletico Astorga FC are 15th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Llanera, level on points with Marino de Luanco. A win would take them above Llanera. SD Gernika Club are 10th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Real Oviedo II, level on points with Basconia. A win would take them above Real Oviedo II.

Form. Atletico Astorga FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. SD Gernika Club have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W.

The numbers. Atletico Astorga FC score 1.3 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Astorga FC average 11.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SD Gernika Club score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. SD Gernika Club average 8.8 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SD Gernika Club or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Gernika Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SD Gernika Club or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico Astorga FC 1-1 SD Gernika Club (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · SDG 10 of 10 (100%)96.1%

Atletico Astorga FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · SD Gernika Club: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Gernika Club's level · SD Gernika Club: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · SDG 10 of 10 (100%)89.8%

Atletico Astorga FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · SD Gernika Club: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Gernika Club's level · SD Gernika Club: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · SDG 8 of 10 (80%)81.1%

Atletico Astorga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · SD Gernika Club: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Gernika Club's level · SD Gernika Club: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · SDG 7 of 10 (70%)72.5%

Atletico Astorga FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SD Gernika Club's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Gernika Club's level · SD Gernika Club: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level

Left off the list: SD Gernika Club or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Gernika Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Gernika Club or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Gernika Club Over 0.5 Goals (Atletico Astorga FC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); SD Gernika Club 1UP (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Gernika Club or Draw (1UP) (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

Atletico Astorga FC goals →

SD Gernika Club goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO ASTORGA FCDWDLLWLLWL1.10 PPG

SD GERNIKA CLUBDDDDWWDLDL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO ASTORGA FC HOMExSD GERNIKA CLUB AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS40%43%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.38CORNERS A GAME4.003.00CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME1.29-0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7

SD Gernika Club: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ATLETICO ASTORGA FC OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

SD GERNIKA CLUB OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ATLETICO ASTORGA FCxSD GERNIKA CLUB

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Atletico Astorga FC have scored in 60% of their games.

SD Gernika Club have scored in 80% of their games.

Atletico Astorga FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

SD Gernika Club kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards