AFAVO

05:00Sat 24 Oct

BRO

Avondale FC vs Broadmeadow Magic FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Avenger park, Melbourne.

What's at stake. Avondale FC are 1st on 2 points after 1 game. Broadmeadow Magic FC are 2nd on 2 points after 1 game.

Form. Avondale FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Broadmeadow Magic FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. Avondale FC score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Avondale FC average 9.7 shots (5.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Broadmeadow Magic FC score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Broadmeadow Magic FC average 12.0 shots (5.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

The case against. Broadmeadow Magic FC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Avondale FC to win. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Avondale FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Avondale FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Avondale FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Avondale FC 1-0 Broadmeadow Magic FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AVO 8 of 10 (80%) · BRO 3 of 10 (30%)55%

Avondale FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Broadmeadow Magic FC: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Avondale FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Avondale FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Avondale FC Over 0.5 Goals (Broadmeadow Magic FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Avondale FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 8.4%

Avondale FC goals →

Broadmeadow Magic FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AVONDALE FCDDWWWWLWWD2.10 PPG

BROADMEADOW MAGIC FCDLDWLWWWWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AVONDALE FC HOMExBROADMEADOW MAGIC FC AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.701.10CONCEDED A GAME0.5040%CLEAN SHEETS50%17%FAILED TO SCORE21%3.00CORNERS A GAME6.002.60CARDS A GAME1.10

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

AVONDALE FC OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Avondale FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Broadmeadow Magic FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Avondale FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Broadmeadow Magic FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards