Al Hidd vs Manama Club
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Hidd are 10th on 5 points after 5 games, 2 points behind East Riffa, 3 points clear of Manama. A win would take them above East Riffa. Manama Club are 11th on 2 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Al-Hidd, 1 point clear of Malkiya. A win would take them level on points with Al-Hidd.
Form. Al Hidd have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Manama Club have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. Al Hidd score 0.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Al Hidd average 8.8 shots (2.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Manama Club score 2.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Manama Club average 8.3 shots (3.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Hidd have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, two were drawn and Manama Club won two. The last time they met, on 15 May 2024, it finished Al Hidd 0-0 Manama Club.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Al Hidd the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Manama Club; the meetings favour Manama Club.
The case against. Manama Club's record still gives them 53% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Al Hidd to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Hidd the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Manama Club; the meetings favour Manama Club. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Manama Club Under 1.5 goals (Manama Club's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Al Hidd are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Hidd 1-0 Manama Club (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).