Match details. 2. Division A, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Masar are 1st on 19 points after 9 games, level on points with Haras El Hodood. Pharco FC are 4th on 19 points after 9 games, level on points with Itesalat, 1 point clear of Kahraba Ismailia. A win would take them above Itesalat.
Form. FC Masar have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Pharco FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. FC Masar score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Masar average 11.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Pharco FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Pharco FC average 6.6 shots (3.2 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The case against. Pharco FC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. FC Masar to win. FC Masar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Masar.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Masar 1-0 Pharco FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).