Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne.
What's at stake. South Melbourne FC are 1st on 3 points after 1 game. Sydney United 58 FC are 2nd on 2 points after 1 game, 1 point behind South Hobart. A win would take them above South Hobart.
Form. South Melbourne FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Sydney United 58 FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. South Melbourne FC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. South Melbourne FC average 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Sydney United 58 FC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sydney United 58 FC average 14.0 shots (6.3 on target), 14.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: South Melbourne FC 1-2 Sydney United 58 FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).