AL Julan vs Al Kahrabaa SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Julan are 7th on 14 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Al Shorta, level on points with Al Talaba. A win would take them level on points with Al Shorta. Al Kahrabaa SC are 18th on 8 points after 10 games, level on points with Al Karkh, level on points with Naft Maysan. A win would take them above Al Karkh.
Form. AL Julan have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D. In this competition AL Julan have gone W D D L D W. Al Kahrabaa SC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Al Kahrabaa SC have gone L D L W L D.
The numbers. AL Julan score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Julan average 3.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Al Kahrabaa SC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Kahrabaa SC average 3.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. AL Julan to win. A tight game. AL Julan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Julan. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 13%.
The bets. Best bet: AL Julan or Draw at 1.32, 82% on the records (AL Julan unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Al Kahrabaa SC failed to win 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17 (88%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Julan 1-0 Al Kahrabaa SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).