Duhok FC vs Karbalaa
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Duhok Stadium.
What's at stake. Duhok FC are 10th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Diyala. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Karbalaa are 20th on 6 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Naft Maysan. A win would take them above Naft Maysan.
Form. Duhok FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Duhok FC have gone L W D L D W. Karbalaa have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Karbalaa have gone L D L L L W.
The numbers. Duhok FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Duhok FC average 6.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Karbalaa score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Karbalaa average 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Duhok FC have won four, drawn two and lost none. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Duhok FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Apr 2025, it finished Duhok FC 2-1 Karbalaa.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The read. Duhok FC to win. Their goals for and against make Duhok FC the likelier winners; Duhok FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Duhok FC; the meetings favour Duhok FC.
The bets. Best bet: Duhok FC or Draw at 1.14, 81% on the records (Duhok FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Karbalaa failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Duhok FC or Draw at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Duhok FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Karbalaa Over 0.5 goals (Karbalaa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Duhok FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Duhok FC 1-0 Karbalaa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).