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IRAQ - STARS LEAGUE
AL Karkh crestAKALK
16:00Fri 23 Oct
ALMAL Mosul SC crestAM

AL Karkh vs AL Mosul SC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AL Karkh are 17th on 8 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Gharraf, level on points with Al Kahrabaa. A win would take them above Gharraf. AL Mosul SC are 15th on 11 points after 10 games, level on points with Ghaz Al Shamal, 1 point clear of Gharraf. A win would take them above Ghaz Al Shamal.

Form. AL Karkh have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition AL Karkh have gone D L W W L L. AL Mosul SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition AL Mosul SC have gone W L L L L D.

The numbers. AL Karkh score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Karkh average 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. AL Mosul SC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Mosul SC average 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings AL Karkh have won one, drawn one and lost none. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished AL Karkh 2-1 AL Mosul SC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AL Karkh the likelier winners, but AL Mosul SC are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The case against. AL Mosul SC's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. AL Karkh or the draw. Their goals for and against make AL Karkh the likelier winners; AL Mosul SC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AL Karkh 1-1 AL Mosul SC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AL Karkh or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 7 of 10 (70%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)79.6%
AL Karkh: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
AL Karkh or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 7 of 10 (70%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)76.2%
AL Karkh: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
AL Karkh or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)73.8%
AL Karkh: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: AL Karkh or AL Mosul SCPAGE ONLY
1.48
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
AL Karkh: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
AL Karkh or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 5 of 9 (56%)67.4%
AL Karkh scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
AL Karkh 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 9 (44%)60%
AL Karkh scored first 1 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC trailed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
AL Karkh or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 5 of 10 (50%) · ALM 3 of 5 (60%)57.3%
AL Karkh: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 10 of 10 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)94.8%
AL Karkh: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 10 of 10 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)93.7%
AL Karkh: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)87.7%
AL Karkh: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.84
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · ALM 2 of 5 (40%)53.9%
AL Karkh: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
AL KARKH GOALS
AL Karkh Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)82.3%
AL Karkh scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Mosul SC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AL Karkh: only games against sides at AL Mosul SC's level · AL Mosul SC: only games against sides at AL Karkh's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.5%
AL Karkh goals →
AL Mosul SC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
AL KARKHLLLDLLWWLD0.80 PPG
AL MOSUL SCDWWLDLLLLW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL KARKH HOMExAL MOSUL SC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.500%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE40%2.80CORNERS A GAME3.001.50CARDS A GAME1.78
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.89POINTS A GAME1.10-0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.61.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES10
AL Karkh: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
AL KARKH OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
AL MOSUL SC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL KARKHxAL MOSUL SC
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.402.20CONCEDED A GAME1.804.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE20%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
AL KARKH 1 · 50%DRAW 1AL MOSUL SC 0 · 0%
2026-01-04AL Karkh 2 – 2 AL Mosul SC
2026-04-03AL Karkh 2 – 1 AL Mosul SC
TRENDS
AL Karkh have scored in 60% of their games.
AL Mosul SC have scored in 60% of their games.
AL Karkh kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
AL Mosul SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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