The Cong - Viettel FC vs Bac Ninh
Match details. V-League 1. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time.
Form. The Cong - Viettel FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Bac Ninh have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. The Cong - Viettel FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. The Cong - Viettel FC average 7.0 shots (1.9 on target), 2.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Bac Ninh score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bac Ninh average 6.0 shots (3.3 on target), 0.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. Bac Ninh's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. The Cong - Viettel FC or the draw. A tight game. Bac Ninh are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 7%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (The Cong - Viettel FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Bac Ninh: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5). Backup: The Cong - Viettel FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: The Cong - Viettel FC 1-1 Bac Ninh (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).