Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sama AL Sarhan SC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Amman FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.
The numbers. Sama AL Sarhan SC score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sama AL Sarhan SC average 8.0 shots (2.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Amman FC score 3.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Amman FC average 7.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The case against. Sama AL Sarhan SC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Amman FC to win. Their goals for and against make Amman FC the likelier winners; Amman FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Amman FC.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Amman FC at 1.28, 77% on the records (Amman FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Sama AL Sarhan SC failed to win 3 of 5). Leave: Amman FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Amman FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Amman FC Over 0.5 Goals (Sama AL Sarhan SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Sama AL Sarhan SC 0-2 Amman FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).