Match details. Stars League. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. AL Talaba have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L.
The numbers. AL Talaba score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Talaba average 3.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Quwa Al Jawiya average 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (AL Talaba: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Al Quwa Al Jawiya: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: AL Talaba Over 0.5 Goals at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Talaba 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALQ 8 of 8 (100%)96.3%
AL Talaba: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · AL Talaba: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Talaba's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALQ 7 of 8 (88%)90.5%
AL Talaba: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · AL Talaba: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Talaba's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
ALT 3 of 5 (60%) · ALQ 7 of 8 (88%)78.8%
AL Talaba: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AL Talaba: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Talaba's level
AL TALABA GOALS
AL Talaba Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.37
ALT 3 of 5 (60%) · ALQ 6 of 8 (75%)71.9%
AL Talaba scored in 3 of 5 at home · Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · AL Talaba: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Talaba's level
AL QUWA AL JAWIYA GOALS
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
ALT 6 of 8 (75%) · ALQ 3 of 5 (60%)67.1%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AL Talaba conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 62% · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Talaba's level · AL Talaba: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
AL Talaba goals →
Al Quwa Al Jawiya goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AL TALABAWDDLWDDWDL1.40 PPG
AL QUWA AL JAWIYADLWDLLWLDD1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL TALABA HOMExAL QUWA AL JAWIYA AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.401.10CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%BOTH SCORED60%50%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.60CORNERS A GAME4.002.50CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.44POINTS A GAME1.22+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 85/90
AL TALABA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
AL QUWA AL JAWIYA OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL TALABAxAL QUWA AL JAWIYA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.801.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.65.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AL Talaba have scored in 60% of their games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya have scored in 70% of their games.
AL Talaba kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards