Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al-Gharraf SC are 16th on 9 points after 10 games, level on points with Zakho, 1 point clear of Al Karkh. A win would take them above Zakho. AL Naft are 3rd on 21 points after 10 games, level on points with Newroz, 3 points clear of Al Zawra'a. A win would take them above Newroz.
Form. Al-Gharraf SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Al-Gharraf SC have gone W D L L L D. AL Naft have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition AL Naft have gone W W W W L W.
The numbers. Al-Gharraf SC score 0.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. AL Naft score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Al-Gharraf SC have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 9 Apr 2026, it finished Al-Gharraf SC 0-1 AL Naft.
The read. AL Naft to win. A tight game. AL Naft are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Naft. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AL Naft Over 0.5 goals (AL Naft's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Al-Gharraf SC 0-1 AL Naft (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AL Naft or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 4 of 5 (80%) · ALN 9 of 10 (90%)88.4%
AL Naft: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level
Double Chance: Draw or AL NaftLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
ALG 4 of 5 (80%) · ALN 8 of 10 (80%)70.9%
AL Naft unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Al-Gharraf SC failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 10 of 10 (100%) · ALN 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Al-Gharraf SC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 10 of 10 (100%) · ALN 5 of 5 (100%)90.5%
Al-Gharraf SC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 9 of 10 (90%) · ALN 5 of 5 (100%)78.9%
Al-Gharraf SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
ALG 6 of 10 (60%) · ALN 3 of 5 (60%)60.3%
Al-Gharraf SC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
ALG 9 of 10 (90%) · ALN 5 of 5 (100%)95%
Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 10 of 10 (100%) · ALN 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 7 of 10 (70%) · ALN 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AL Naft: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at AL Naft's level · AL Naft: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AL Naft Over 0.5 goals (AL Naft's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–110%
Al-Gharraf SC goals →
AL Naft goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AL-GHARRAF SCDWLLDLLLDW0.90 PPG
AL NAFTWDDDWLWWWW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL-GHARRAF SC HOMExAL NAFT AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME0.5030%CLEAN SHEETS70%50%FAILED TO SCORE30%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AL-GHARRAF SC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME2.12-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.75-4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.60.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES8
AL Naft: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
AL NAFT 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AL-GHARRAF SC OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
AL NAFT OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL-GHARRAF SCxAL NAFT
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME0.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE20%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.09.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
AL-GHARRAF SC 1 · 50%DRAW 0AL NAFT 1 · 50%
2026-01-14Al-Gharraf SC 2 – 0 AL Naft
2026-04-09Al-Gharraf SC 0 – 1 AL Naft
TRENDS
Al-Gharraf SC failed to score in 50% of their games.
AL Naft failed to score in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table