Zakho FC vs Erbil SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Zakho FC are 15th on 9 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Mosul, level on points with Gharraf. A win would take them above Mosul. Erbil SC are 5th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with Al Zawra'a, 1 point clear of Al Shorta. A win would take them above Al Zawra'a.
Form. Zakho FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Zakho FC have gone L L L W D D. Erbil SC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Erbil SC have gone L D W L W D.
The numbers. Zakho FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Zakho FC average 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Erbil SC score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Erbil SC average 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Zakho FC have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Zakho FC won two, one was drawn and Erbil SC won one. The last time they met, on 28 May 2026, it finished Zakho FC 1-2 Erbil SC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Erbil SC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Zakho FC.
The case against. Zakho FC's record still gives them 37% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Erbil SC or the draw. A tight game. Erbil SC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Zakho FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 77% on the records (Zakho FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Erbil SC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Zakho FC 1-1 Erbil SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).