Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hawassa Kenema SC are 15th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Kedus Giorgis, level on points with Hadiya Hosaena. A win would take them above Kedus Giorgis. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are 1st on 6 points after 2 games, 1 point clear of Negelle Arsi.
Form. Hawassa Kenema SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. In this competition Hawassa Kenema SC have gone D L L D D L. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. In this competition Ethiopia Nigd Bank have gone W W D L D L.
The numbers. Hawassa Kenema SC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hawassa Kenema SC average 6.3 shots (1.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 0.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ethiopia Nigd Bank average 6.3 shots (2.4 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Hawassa Kenema SC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Hawassa Kenema SC won one, one was drawn and Ethiopia Nigd Bank won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Hawassa Kenema SC 2-4 Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
The case against. Hawassa Kenema SC's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win. A tight game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Ethiopia Nigd Bank at 1.34, 74% on the records (Ethiopia Nigd Bank unbeaten in 3 of 6 away; Hawassa Kenema SC failed to win 5 of 6 at home). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Ethiopia Nigd Bank Over 0.5 goals (Hawassa Kenema SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hawassa Kenema SC 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).